WNBA Championship Betting Trends: Anyone Stopping the Lynx?

The 2025 WNBA season has delivered high drama, with the Minnesota Lynx leading the standings at 30–7, followed closely by the Dream, Aces, and Mercury. With the postseason around the corner, BetMGM’s betting market is reflecting both sharp money and public action in fascinating ways.

The latest insights show clear public favorites, heavy liabilities, and sharply driven moves that are reshaping the championship picture.

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WNBA Championship Line Movement: Lynx Surging, Fever Steady

BetMGM’s line movement tells the story of the season:

• Minnesota Lynx: Opened +400, now +120 after dominating the league with the best record (.811 win percentage, +10.1 point differential).
• New York Liberty: Narrow shift from +200 to +195 despite sitting 5th in the standings.
• Indiana Fever: Held steady at +2500, but betting markets are treating them as the ultimate liability.

WNBA Championship Betting Splits: Public Loves the Fever

Despite sitting just sixth in the standings at 20–18, the Indiana Fever are the public’s darling at BetMGM:

• Ticket %: Fever 39.1%, Lynx 15.8%, Liberty 9.4%.
• Handle %: Fever 50.6%, Lynx 16.0%, Liberty 12.6%.

The Fever’s massive support creates the biggest liability for sportsbooks, followed by the expansion Golden State Valkyries and the powerhouse Lynx.

WNBA Standings Context: Who’s Rising?

Looking at the WNBA standings:

• Minnesota Lynx (30–7): Clear title favorites with elite balance on both ends.
• Atlanta Dream (24–13): Strong second-half push, firmly in the mix.
• Las Vegas Aces (25–14, W11 streak): Defending champs rounding into form at the right time.
• Phoenix Mercury (23–14): Dangerous sleeper with strong offensive metrics.
• New York Liberty (23–15): Elite offense but inconsistent down the stretch.
• Indiana Fever (20–18): Betting market darlings despite middling record.

Meanwhile, expansion Golden State Valkyries (19–18) and Seattle Storm (20–19) are fighting for positioning, while the Sparks, Mystics, and eliminated Sun, Sky, and Wings round out the board.

WNBA Championship Key Storylines for Bettors

• Lynx as Justified Favorites – Dominant record and line movement reflect elite form.
• Fever’s Market Pull – Despite average play, Indiana carries the heaviest public money.
• Liability Risks – BetMGM sweating Fever and Valkyries tickets.
• Aces Heating Up – An 11-game winning streak could swing momentum toward a repeat run.
• Value Picks – Mercury and Dream offering intriguing mid-range prices.

WNBA Championship Trends Final Takeaway

The 2025 WNBA Championship market is shaping up as a battle between public enthusiasm and sharp conviction. The Lynx are the rightful favorites, the Fever are sportsbooks’ nightmare ticket, and the Aces are peaking at the perfect time. With the standings tight and liability risks mounting, bettors should expect volatility in the market as the playoffs approach.