Premier League Golden Boot Trends: Who Will be EPL’s Top Scorer?

The race for the 2025 Premier League Golden Boot is already generating major betting interest at BetMGM, with some of the game’s biggest names and emerging stars drawing heavy action. Defending scoring champion Mohamed Salah, last year’s 29-goal machine, faces stiff competition from Erling Haaland, Viktor Gyokeres, Joao Pedro, and Cole Palmer — all of whom have made headlines this summer. With early-season form, international performances, and market movement in play, here’s how the betting board stands.

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Line Movement: From Opening to Now

Erling Haaland remains the favorite but has drifted slightly from +125 to +150 despite scoring three goals at the Club World Cup earlier this summer. Mohamed Salah has also moved from +400 to +500, a curious shift given his league-leading tally last season. Viktor Gyokeres has seen a sharp odds cut from +1000 to +650 after netting in Arsenal’s Emirates Cup win over Athletic Club. Joao Pedro’s price has been halved from +3300 to +1600, boosted by a two-goal performance in the Mexican League.

Insight: The tightening odds for Gyokeres and Pedro show how quickly preseason form can impact betting markets. While Haaland and Salah remain the established elite, the mid-tier challengers are closing the gap, making the early race more intriguing.

• Erling Haaland +125 to +150
• Mohamed Salah +400 to +500
• Viktor Gyokeres +1000 to +650
• Joao Pedro +3300 to +1600

Highest Ticket Percentage

Cole Palmer, fresh off a three-goal Club World Cup showing, leads all players in ticket share at 18.4%. Gyokeres follows at 14.0%, with Pedro at 11.0%. Notably, Salah’s strong league record hasn’t translated into the same early betting volume.

Insight: Bettors are gravitating toward potential breakout candidates rather than just proven scorers. Palmer’s surge in public interest highlights the appeal of a young, in-form attacker at a longer preseason price.

• Cole Palmer 18.4%
• Viktor Gyokeres 14.0%
• Joao Pedro 11.0%

Highest Handle Percentage

When it comes to money wagered, Gyokeres tops the chart at 24.6%, narrowly ahead of Haaland at 23.7%, with Palmer close behind at 22.6%. This shows a split betting market between the dominant favorite, the rising Arsenal forward, and the emerging Chelsea attacker.

Insight: The handle distribution suggests serious bettors are not shying away from longer prices if the form is there. Gyokeres’ combination of club role and summer scoring has drawn enough high-stakes bets to challenge Haaland’s dominance in the market.

• Viktor Gyokeres 24.6%
• Erling Haaland 23.7%
• Cole Palmer 22.6%

Biggest Liability for the Sportsbook

BetMGM’s largest Golden Boot liabilities are Palmer, Gyokeres, and Pedro. These three aren’t the shortest-priced favorites, but their odds combined with betting volume create significant potential payouts for the book.

Insight: This liability list is a sportsbook’s nightmare scenario — high-return, mid-tier odds attracting large enough bets to pose real risk. If any of these players sustain form into the season, BetMGM could be facing heavy exposure.

• Cole Palmer
• Viktor Gyokeres
• Joao Pedro