Not Dead Yet: 5 Reasons the Arizona Diamondbacks Can Contend Still

History Shows They Can Rally Late

Arizona’s blueprint is simple: repeat 2024’s late surge. They sat at 45-47 last July, exactly where they are now, and still finished with 89 wins and a postseason run. Their 40-25 second half proved this group can flip the switch late — especially if they stay healthy and add at the deadline. With strong motivation to avoid selling, this lineup and rotation combo could absolutely mirror last year’s success and push deep into October.

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Starting Pitching Trending Up

Zac Gallen’s rediscovered confidence, partly thanks to veteran catcher James McCann, is huge for Arizona’s hopes. Over his last three starts with McCann, Gallen sports a sharp 2.95 ERA and 19 Ks in 13 innings against formidable lineups. Merrill Kelly remains steady with a 3.55 ERA and 103 Ks in 104 innings, while Ryne Nelson’s 3.39 ERA and 1.8 bWAR show real promise since stepping in for Corbin Burnes. Even Eduardo Rodriguez, despite a rough Royals game, owns a sub-4.00 ERA over his last five starts.

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Gabriel Moreno’s Return is Critical

Few teams rely on their catcher as much as Arizona does on Gabriel Moreno. He’s a Gold Glove winner and owns a 104 OPS+, elite production for a catcher. His framing and arm help steady Arizona’s staff, and the D-backs’ record with him healthy is notably stronger. With Moreno back behind the dish later this summer, the Diamondbacks could see a major lift both defensively and offensively during a crucial stretch run.

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Mike Hazen’s Deadline Moves Can Make the Difference

General Manager Mike Hazen has proven savvy at the deadline, finding key pieces like Paul Sewald last year. If Arizona hovers within striking distance of a Wild Card, expect him to add impact relievers or depth starters. His track record suggests smart deals could fix bullpen issues, just like last season’s additions fueled their playoff push. If the D-backs buy, they can stay dangerous well into September.

History Shows They Can Rally Late

Arizona’s blueprint is simple: repeat 2024’s late surge. They sat at 45-47 last July, exactly where they are now, and still finished with 89 wins and a postseason run. Their 40-25 second half proved this group can flip the switch late — especially if they stay healthy and add at the deadline. With strong motivation to avoid selling, this lineup and rotation combo could absolutely mirror last year’s success and push deep into October.

For all your MLB deep dives, check out our friends at Just Baseball.