MLB · 4 weeks ago

MLB on Fox: Phillies vs Rangers Same Game Parlay Picks Today

Joe Cervenka

Host · Writer

MLB on Fox: Phillies vs Rangers Same Game Parlay Picks Today

The Texas Rangers enter this matchup with something to prove — and the perfect ace to set the tone against the Philadelphia Phillies. Jacob deGrom has looked every bit like his vintage self in 2025, dominating hitters with elite command and overpowering stuff. While Texas has battled through an inconsistent offense for much of the season, recent weeks have shown real signs of life at the plate.

The combination of a red-hot deGrom and a lineup starting to find its rhythm makes this a spot where Texas can seize momentum. Against a tough Phillies club, urgency will be high — and the Rangers have the arms to deliver.

Let’s hunt, gather, and eat!

PHI vs TEX Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates

Where to Watch Phillies vs Rangers

Ballpark: Globe Life Field
Location: Arlington, Texas
Where to Watch: FOX
Follow: SportsGrid App (Google Play Store or Apple Store)
Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
Spread: TEX -1.5 (+164) | Total: 7
Moneyline: PHI+112 | TEX -132

Odds Subject to Change. Get the Most Up-to-Date Odds Here.

Leg 1: Rangers Moneyline -132

We’ve been treated to the Jacob deGrom of old this season. Finally healthy for basically an entire campaign, deGrom has dialed back the clock and is having one of the best years of his career. The Rangers ace sits just outside MLB’s top 10 with a 2.80 ERA to go along with a 0.94 WHIP that’s tied for fifth in the bigs. He’s put together 10 wins and 12 quality starts across 128.2 innings, the most he’s pitched in a season since 2019. Despite an inconsistent offense, the former New York Met gives Texas an excellent chance every time he’s on the mound.

The Rangers haven’t exactly been lighting up the scoreboard this season, and the lack of consistent run production has been a real storyline. Sitting 23rd in MLB with only 478 runs, the Rangers have spent much of the year scraping for offense. Key injuries — Josh Jung, Corey Seager, and Joc Pederson — have forced them to shuffle lineups, while sluggish first halves from Adolis Garcia and Marcus Semien kept the attack mediocre.

The tide, however, might be turning. Coming into this week, Texas was playing 5.07 runs per game since the middle of July — good for seventh in baseball — and the bats finally look like they’re finding a rhythm. If that trend holds, the gap between their elite pitching and previously sluggish offense could shrink fast.

On the mound, this team has been as steady as it gets. deGrom leads a staff that owns the best ERA (3.28) and WHIP (1.17) in the majors, keeping them firmly in contention even when the bats weren’t delivering. Once deGrom exits after his usual five or six innings, he’s in good hands. The Rangers bullpen ranks third in baseball with a 3.38 ERA and fourth with a 1.19 WHIP. Much of this was before Texas added shutdown righty Phil Maton at the trade deadline. He comes in with a 2.18 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 21 holds, and three saves. a

After dropping the opener 9-1 and facing NL Cy Young contender Zack Wheeler tomorrow, this is the game Texas must get in this series. With October just 1.5 games out of reach and signs of offensive life emerging, the Rangers look poised to back their arms with enough run support to make a real push — starting with this matchup against Philadelphia. I think they will come out with urgency and get the important W.

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Leg 2: Jacob deGrom Over 6.5 Strikeouts -112

For our first prop leg of this parlay, we are going straight back to deGrom. Not only has the Rangers ace put up a great ERA this season, but he is also his usual dominant pitcher, throwing gas. The 37-year-old is dominating hitters to the tune of 9.39 K/9, which ranks him 17th in all of baseball. Examining his advanced metrics paints an even more impressive picture of the veteran hurler.

With an average fastball of 97.4 MPH, deGrom sits in the top eight percent of major league pitchers, and it’s not just flashy velocity; it’s effective. deGrom’s 31.6% chase rate is in the top 15 percent, while his 30.2% whiff rate puts him in the top 19 percent in the league. The two-time Cy Young winner also boasts a K rate of 27.1%, which puts him in the top 20 percent of MLB.

This season, deGrom has featured the K as a regular weapon and has gone over this number three times in his past four games, averaging 8.3 Ks per game in those contests. The Florida native has hit six strikeouts in eight of his past 10 games, with the two misses being five Ks in each game.

Pitching for all those years in the same division while with the Mets, deGrom is no stranger to the Phillies. He has had 19 starts against Philadelphia and has been excellent over the course of his career, with a 2.53 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Even better for our purposes, deGrom has 127 strikeouts in 110.1 innings against Philly.

Many of the Phillies’ big bats have struggled against deGrom. Kyle Schwarber is hitting just .125 against him to go along with seven Ks in 16 at-bats. Trea Turner hasn’t been much better with a .250 average and 17 strikeouts in 48 at-bats. Catcher JT Realmuto sports a .147 batting average to go along with 12 Ks in 34 ABs. While Bryce Harper has had some success with a .293 career average, he has also struck out more than every four times he’s faced deGrom.

I like deGrom to come out dealing against an old foe he knows all too well tonight, and put his punchouts into overdrive.

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Leg 3: Bryce Harper 2+ Bases +105

If there has been one fly in deGrom’s ointment, it has been Bryce Harper. Despite his 15 strikeouts in 41 at-bats against the Rangers’ flamethrower, Harper has undoubtedly been the toughest out for deGrom over the course of their careers. Big Bryce has an elite .442 OBP, with 12 hits, four for extra bases, including two home runs against the former Met. Lefties, like Harper, have certainly hit deGrom better, with a .614 OPS compared to .562 facing RHB over his career. In that same vein, Harper has hit righties much better with a .903 OPS this year, compared to .804 facing lefties.

On the season, the Phillies slugger is doing what he usually does: rake. Harper is second on the team with a .867 OPS to go along with 17 home runs and 25 doubles. Following an injury-riddled and horrendous June limited to just four games, Harper turned it around last month with a 1.005 OPS in July. Further improvement could be coming, according to the former Washington National‘s advanced metrics.

Harper’s xBA is .279, which puts him in the top 19 percent of hitters, compared to his actual mark of .263. The 32-year-old first baseman also sports an impressive .385 xwOBA, which lands him in the top eight percent of big league boppers. Harper’s xSLG of .520 is 25 points higher than his actual slugging percentage, and in the top 12 percent of the league. His swing metrics also impress, with a hard hit rate of 48.8%, landing him in baseball’s top 20%, and a 12.8% barrel rate, landing him in the upper 21%. The former first overall pick also rocks a 39.6% LA Sweet-Spot rate, which lands him in the top nine percent, to go along with a 113.8 MPH Max EV speed, which slots him into baseball’s top ten percent.

If anyone is going to get to deGrom tonight, Bryce Harper is the most logical candidate. We can handle a double or so to cash our final leg, especially if it comes along with a couple of Ks.