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MLB · 2 months ago

MLB Most Bet Props Today | Tuesday’s Popular Plays

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

MLB Most Bet Props Today | Tuesday’s Popular Plays

As the MLB action heats up Tuesday night, bettors are targeting marquee matchups and player trends to maximize value. From sluggers seeking dingers to pitchers limiting strikeouts, today’s most bet props offer enticing edges. We break down the five most popular props at BetMGM—Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber, Jonathan Aranda, Robbie Ray, and Andrew McCutchen—using recent performance, historical splits, and matchup context to inform your wagers.

Swing for the Fences with SportsGrid’s free daily MLB Game Picks and MLB Prop Picks.

Aaron Judge Home Run (+200)

Why Bet Judge to Go Deep?

Aaron Judge leads MLB with 26 homers, a .377 average, .751 slugging, and a 1.226 OPS. He’s 2-for-3 lifetime with a double and single against tonight’s LA Angels starter Kyle Hendricks. Judge’s power surge and elite contact rate with the New York Yankees make the +200 home run price appealing. Hendricks can be hittable when missing spots, and Judge’s history of capitalizing on mistakes suggests strong upside. Back Judge to leave the yard and fuel your parlay or standalone play.

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Kyle Schwarber Home Run (+325)

Backing Schwarber’s Long Ball Potential

Kyle Schwarber ranks second in the NL with 22 home runs, a .538 slugging percentage, and .917 OPS. He’s 3-for-17 all homers off Miami MarlinsCal Quantrill. Schwarber’s power profile and demonstrated success against Quantrill set the stage for another big swing for the Philadelphia Phillies slugger. Quantrill’s tendency to leave hanging pitches in the zone aligns with Schwarber’s fastball-hitting prowess. At +325, a Schwarber homer offers notable value given his track record and approach in hitter-friendly counts.

Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Total Hits, Runs & RBIs (-125)

Projecting Aranda’s Multi-Category Impact

Jonathan Aranda is batting .324 with eight homers, 39 RBI, 36 runs, and 71 hits for the Tampa Bay Rays this year. Though 0-for-4 with three strikeouts in five PA vs. Dean Kremer, those numbers come with small sample caveats facing the Baltimore Orioles SP. Aranda’s high-contact approach and versatile bat profile suggest he can collect multiple stats: a hit, a run, and an RBI. Facing Kremer, who can be prone to hard contact, Aranda’s balanced skillset in average and situational hitting boosts confidence in surpassing 1.5 combined hits+runs+RBIs.

Robbie Ray Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-110)

Fade the K-Heavy Projection

Robbie Ray is 8-1 with a 2.55 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 92 strikeouts (13th in MLB) for the San Francisco Giants, but seeing under 6.5 strikeouts can be smart. Ray often works deeper counts against disciplined lineups, leading to fewer punchouts in favorable matchups. With today’s opponent featuring contact-oriented hitters and potential early runs forcing pitch count management, Ray may lean on location over chasing strikeouts. The under 6.5 K line at -110 provides a solid hedge versus an aggressive strikeout projection.

Andrew McCutchen Under 0.5 Hits (+185)

Anticipating McCutchen’s First-Time Challenge

Andrew McCutchen is hitting .263 with seven homers and 26 RBI, and has recorded a hit in seven of eight games. However, tonight marks his first career plate appearance against Detroit Tigers starting pitcher Casey Mize, a rising arm with swing-and-miss potential. Mize’s mix of breaking pitches and deceptive delivery could neutralize McCutchen’s timing early. At +185 for McCutchen to be held hitless, this prop leverages the unknown factor and favorable odds when backing a veteran adjusting to an unfamiliar pitcher.

Tuesday’s MLB Most Bet Props (Tickets)

  • Aaron Judge Home run +200
  • Kyle Schwarber Home run +325
  • Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Total hits, runs and RBIs -125
  • Robbie Ray Under 6.5 Strikeouts -110
  • Andrew McCutchen Under 0.5 Hits +185

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