MLB · 1 week ago

MLB 3-Game Parlay | Blue Jays, Tigers, Brewers Picks and Best Bets Today

Joe Cervenka

Host · Writer

‌

Tonight’s three-leg MLB parlay builds around teams that not only have the statistical edge but also the matchup momentum to cash tickets. The Blue Jays are set up behind Eric Lauer and a scorching lineup against a Twins team fading fast. The Brewers are in Milwaukee with their contact-heavy approach primed to expose Arizona’s shaky staff. And the Tigers, led by Casey Mize, should avoid a sweep with their bats projecting well in Sacramento against an overmatched Athletics club.

Put it all together, and this card offers sharp value with +548 odds.

Stay ahead of the game and elevate your sports betting experience with SportsGrid.

Where to Watch Twins vs Blue Jays

Ballpark: Rogers Centre
Location: Toronto, Ontario., Canada
Where to Watch: SNET, MNNT
Follow: SportsGrid App (Google Play Store or Apple Store)
Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
Spread: TOR -1.5 (+112) | Total: 9
Moneyline: MIN +158 | TOR -188

Odds Subject to Change. Get the Most Up-to-Date Odds Here.

Leg 1: Blue Jays Runline -1.5 (+112)

The Toronto Blue Jays look well-positioned to cover the runline tonight against the Minnesota Twins, with the scheduling spot already tilted in their favor. The Jays continue this six-game home stand, while the Twins are wrapping up a six-game road swing in this rubber match of the series.

The Jays’ bats have been as reliable as any in baseball, leading the Majors in batting average by 10 points (.268) and on-base percentage (.337) while ranking third in OPS (.766) and sixth in runs (4.9 per game). The advanced numbers back up the production — Toronto owns MLB’s best expected batting average at .272, sits fifth in xwOBA at .342, and fifth in xSLG at .446. That level of consistent contact and power has kept them among the most efficient run-scoring clubs in the league.

Eric Lauer has only amplified that edge. Signed as depth, he has become the rotation’s most reliable arm with a 2.76 ERA and 1.08 WHIP through 14 starts. The ex-Milwaukee Brewer hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any outing and has dropped just one decision over his last 15 appearances. When Lauer takes the ball, Toronto has been in position to win comfortably, and against a weakened Twins lineup, that formula should hold.

Even before gutting itself at the trade deadline, Minnesota did not feature a potent lineup. Their offense sports the seventh-lowest xBA (.245) in the league, while sitting in the bottom 10 in xwOBA (.319) and xwOBACON (.371). The Twins are the seventh-lowest scoring team in baseball (4.1 runs per game), and have a bottom-10 OPS (.705). The subpar offense has continued recently, sitting in the bottom seven in runs scored over the past month and past 15 days.

At plus-money, the runline carries the value play, as Toronto’s profile points toward a multi-run victory. Blue Jays -1.5 is the sharp side with the combination of Lauer’s efficiency, Minnesota’s mediocrity on offense, and a relentless lineup.

MIN vs TOR Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates

Where to Watch Diamondbacks vs Brewers

Ballpark: American Family Field
Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Where to Watch: FDSWI, ARID
Follow: SportsGrid App (Google Play Store or Apple Store)
Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
Spread: MIL -1.5 (+140) | Total: 9
Moneyline: ARZ +120 | MIL -142

Leg 2: Brewers Moneyline -142

The Milwaukee Brewers enter this matchup against the Arizona Diamondbacks with a lineup that may not be built on sheer power, but has carved out its success through efficiency and relentless pressure. The Brewers rank just outside the top 10 in OPS at .738 and lead the National League with a .258 team batting average, good for second-best across all of baseball, only trailing the earlier-mentioned Blue Jays. What sets them apart is the way they manufacture runs — they play the kind of small ball that wears down opponents. Milwaukee ranks second in the Majors with 140 stolen bases, sits fifth in sacrifice bunts with 23, and is eighth with 41 sacrifice flies.

That style of play works because they consistently put the ball in play. The Brewers own the second-highest BABIP in baseball at .303, a testament to how well their contact-oriented approach translates into baserunners and scoring chances. They’ve also done an excellent job limiting strikeouts, posting the fifth-fewest in the league, while ranking fifth in walks. The result is a team that thrives on extending innings, forcing pitchers into tough counts, and capitalizing on every opportunity. They should have their way with a pitching staff with the 10th-highest ERA (4.81) in baseball over the past month.

Against a Diamondbacks team that has struggled to find rhythm on the road (30-37), Milwaukee’s balance of contact hitting, speed, and situational execution gives them the upper hand. They don’t need the long ball to cover this spot — just the same steady, disciplined offense that’s carried them all season.

Back the Brewers to out-execute Arizona and take care of business at home, with a price tag that seems like a gift for a team with the best record in baseball (83-50).

ARZ vs MIL Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates

Where to Watch Tigers vs Athletics

Ballpark: Sutter Health Park
Location: West Sacramento, California
Where to Watch: NBCS-CA, FDSDET
Follow: SportsGrid App (Google Play Store or Apple Store)
Time: 10:05 p.m. ET
Spread: DET -1.5 (+122) | Total: 10.5
Moneyline: DET -126 | ATH +108

Leg 3: Tigers Moneyline -126

The Detroit Tigers look to avoid a three-game sweep and avoid a four-game slide when they wrap up their series with the Athletics tonight in Sacramento.

While you may be hoping Tarik Skubal is on the mound tonight, Casey Mize is more than capable of being a slump stopper for the Tigers. Outside of Skubal, Mize has been Detroit’s best starting pitcher this season. The former first overall pick sports a tidy 3.68 ERA to go along with 103 strikeouts in 117.1 innings pitched this year. Having a career year, Mize looks to add to his personal-best 12 wins this season and pick up his fourth “W" in his past five outings. With just four defeats on the season, the Auburn alum has dropped just one game in his past seven starts. I expect that positive trend to continue against a mediocre Athletics offense.

The A’s have the ninth-lowest expected batting average in baseball, sitting at .248. Their xSLG (.412) isn’t much better, as the 11th lowest number in the league, while they also sit in the bottom 10 with a .318 xwOBA. The diamond artists formerly known as Oakland sit with the sixth-highest strikeout rate in the league (8.6 per game) and are overly reliant on the home run. They could learn a thing or two from the Tigers’ bats.

Detroit boasts the sixth-highest xwOBACON (.396) in baseball, to go along with the seventh-best expected slugging percentage (.445) and a .331 xwOBA that puts them seventh as well. Pair those numbers with a very impressive barrel rate (9.7%), which ranks them sixth in the league, and it’s easy to see why this team puts up runs. In fact, Detroit has scored the seventh-most runs in Major League Baseball this season at 4.9 per game.

I expected the Tigers’ bats to be booming in the shoebox stadium that is Sutter Health Park tonight. A team with a 28-37 home record shouldn’t scare anyone, never mind the American League’s top side (78-56).

DET vs ATH Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates