MLB · 4 weeks ago

MLB 3-Game Parlay | Blue Jays, Mets, Brewers Picks and Best Bets Today

Joe Cervenka

Host · Writer

MLB 3-Game Parlay | Blue Jays, Mets, Brewers Picks and Best Bets Today

Tonight’s MLB slate sets up perfectly for a three-leg parlay built on elite offenses, favorable pitching matchups, and fading struggling bats. The Toronto Blue Jays kick things off in a potential World Series preview against the Chicago Cubs, where their league-leading contact and on-base skills meet a hittable starter. In Queens, the Mets look to snap a skid behind a star-studded, metrics-backed lineup against a depleted Braves offense. And in Milwaukee, the Brewers aim to outduel Paul Skenes with Freddy Peralta on the mound, relying on their balanced, high-contact approach to produce.

Put it all together, and you’ve got +462 parlay potential, ready to get cashed.

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Where to Watch Cubs vs Blue Jays

Ballpark: Rogers Centre
Location: Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Where to Watch: TBS, SNET, MARQ
Follow: SportsGrid App (Google Play Store or Apple Store)
Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
Spread: TOR -1.5 (+160) | Total: 9
Moneyline: CHC +106 | TOR -124

Odds Subject to Change. Get the Most Up-to-Date Odds Here.

Leg 1: Blue Jays Moneyline -124

The Toronto Blue Jays get to test themselves against one of the premier National League clubs in this potential World Series preview, as they open a three-game set with the Chicago Cubs. Toronto gets some rare national exposure in the U.S. tonight as this game will be broadcast on TBS. What the larger viewing audience will see is an offense that has been humming all season.

Toronto brings one of baseball’s most complete lineups into this matchup. They pace the Majors with a .269 batting average, 10 points higher than any other team, and sit atop the charts in on-base percentage at .339. Power and production aren’t far behind — the Jays check in third in OPS (.767) and seventh in total runs scored (583). The underlying metrics tell the same story: Toronto owns MLB’s best expected batting average (.273), ranks fifth in xwOBA (.342), and sits sixth in xSLG at .444. In other words, this isn’t just a hot streak — the numbers back up the bats.

On the mound, the Jays send out Jose Berrios, having another fine season in Toronto. Berrios has been ultra consistent, sporting a 3.89 ERA while striking out 116 over 136.2 innings. The former Minnesota Twin also has 13 quality starts on the year, and is usually a guarantee to last a minimum of five frames. Berrios will certainly have his work cut out for him facing one of the best offenses in the National League, but this is an opportunity to test his mettle against top competition in what will likely be a playoff atmosphere at Rogers Centre.

I like Berrios settling in nicely and Toronto’s bats getting to Cubs starter Ben Brown. Brown has struggled this season to the tune of a 6.44 ERA and 1.44 WHIP, and things will only get worse against an offense of the Jays’ quality.

CHC vs TOR Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates

Where to Watch Braves vs Mets

Ballpark: Citi Field
Location: Queens, New York
Where to Watch: SNY, FDSSO
Follow: SportsGrid App (Google Play Store or Apple Store)
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Spread: NYM -1.5 (+140) | Total: 8
Moneyline: ATL +116 NYM -116

Leg 2: Mets Moneyline -136

The New York Mets open up their last series of the season against the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field. Normally jockeying atop the NL East, it’s been a lost season for Atlanta, while the Mets appear playoff-bound with a two-game lead for the final wild card spot. Despite a seven-game losing streak entering tonight, New York remains a very dangerous team.

With Pete Alonso, Juan Soto, Brandon Nimmo, and Francisco Lindor anchoring the order, the Mets roll out a lineup that can punish mistakes from the first pitch to the last. This isn’t just a star-heavy attack — it’s a deep, relentless, high-contact group that’s driving the ball with authority and making pitchers work for every out.

The metrics paint the same picture. New York ranks fourth in MLB in expected slugging (.453) and sits fourth in expected weighted on-base average (.343), proof of just how often they’re generating quality swings. When they square it up, the damage is immediate — fourth in xwOBA on contact (.398), third in barrel rate (10.3%), third in hard-hit rate (44.8%), and third in average exit velocity (90.4 MPH).

It’s production that runs deeper than box-score numbers. The Mets hold the sixth-best OPS in baseball at .752, and they’ve been just as dangerous against frontline arms as they have versus the back end of rotations, making them a tough out for anyone in their path.

Atlanta’s offense has been at the other end of the spectrum and remains without lineup leaders Ronald Acuna and Austin Riley. Over the past month, the Braves have hit just .238 (23rd in MLB) with a .738 OPS — a stretch that’s kept them hovering right around league-average production. It’s a continuation of a season-long theme, as Atlanta’s expected batting average sits at .250, barely clear of the league’s bottom third and a far cry from the standard this lineup has set in recent years.

On the mound, New York needs a big-time slump-stopping performance from Clay Holmes. The Mets have an ERA over five in their past 10 games (1-9), and Holmes looks like the guy who can turn that around. The former New York Yankee has faced Atlanta twice this season with very good results. In his most recent start against the Braves, Holmes held the Bravos to just one run over five innings, while giving up three hits in the win.

While Spencer Strider is Atlanta’s best pitcher, he has had trouble with the Mets. Strider has a career ERA of 4.97 and a 1.44 WHIP in eight career starts against New York. His numbers are equally unimpressive at Citi Field, where he owns a 5.03 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in four starts.

I like the Mets to end this slide tonight and Atlanta’s road struggles (21-37) to continue.

ATL vs NYM Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates

Where to Watch Pirates vs Brewers

Ballpark: American Family Field
Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Where to Watch: FDSWI, SportsNet PT
Follow: SportsGrid App (Google Play Store or Apple Store)
Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
Spread: MIL -1.5 (+176) | Total: 6.5
Moneyline: PIT +108 | MIL -126

Leg 3: Brewers Moneyline -126

Paul Skenes or no Paul Skenes, the Milwaukee Brewers are severely underpriced against the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight. Milwaukee has shown they can hang with any pitcher this season, including the NL Cy Young favorite (-650). The Brew Crew chased Skenes after four innings in his last start against them back in late June. Skenes allowed four earned on four hits and two walks in the loss. It’s not the first or last ace Milwaukee’s roughed up this season.

The Brewers sit just outside the top 10 of baseball with a .731 team OPS this season. They also lead the NL with the third-highest batting average in baseball, hitting .257 on the year. Milwaukee is all about that small ball, sitting second in the league in stolen bases (130), sixth in sac bunts (21), and tied for third with 38 sacrifice flies. When they make contact, they make it work with the second-highest BABIP (.304) in Major League Baseball. The Brewers have the fifth-fewest strikeouts in the league and are eighth in walks, showing they consistently put together quality at-bats.

While the hype on the mound may belong to Skenes, Freddy Peralta is no slouch. Peralta paces the staff with a 3.03 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and 141 strikeouts in 131.2 innings pitched. The Dominican hurler has pitched well against Pittsburgh this season, allowing just four earned runs in two starts. In his last outing against the Buccos, Peralta went five strong, while striking out eight to get one of his career-high 13 wins on the year.

Pittsburgh’s offense has been unimpressive all season, and it doesn’t really have any intimidating bats in the lineup. The Pirates sit in the bottom 10 of baseball in xBA (.249), xSLG (.398), xwOBA (.315), and xwOBACON (.373). They have scored the fewest runs in baseball (3.5/game) and the lowest team OPS at .650.

This one should be a tight affair with few runs scored, but I definitely like Milwaukee’s offense getting to Skenes more than Pittsburgh getting to Peralta.

PIT vs MIL Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates