Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Matchup Insights: Baseball’s Greatest Rivalry
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
Saturday Matchup Breakdown: Garrett Crochet of the Boston Red Sox vs. Ryan Yarbrough of the New York Yankees
The Yankees and Red Sox continue their 2025 rivalry series on Saturday with a stylistically fascinating pitching duel: Crochet vs. Yarbrough.
Crochet has quietly been one of Boston’s most consistent arms, showing electric stuff and improved command in recent starts. He’ll face a Yankees lineup that, for all its star power, has struggled historically vs. left-handed pitching—though recent form suggests they may be turning that around.
Yarbrough, meanwhile, has become an unexpected hero in the Yankees’ rotation. The soft-tossing lefty keeps getting it done, including a key win last weekend against the Los Angeles Dodgers. He’s defied his peripherals all year, working deep into games and limiting damage with ground balls and weak contact.
Projected Pitching Edge: Slight to Boston (Crochet’s upside over Yarbrough’s finesse)
🌧️ Weather Watch: Rain in the Forecast?
Saturday’s forecast in the New York area calls for potential rain throughout the evening. While not expected to wash out the game, slick conditions could impact both command and fielding—factors to weigh when betting totals.
Tip: Be cautious with live betting if conditions deteriorate mid-game. Pitchers like Yarbrough rely heavily on location and might get affected by the damp ball/grip.
🔥 Betting Preview: Lines, Trends & Picks
As of Saturday morning, here’s how the market shapes up:
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Moneyline:
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Yankees: -125
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Red Sox: +105
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Total:
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8.5 runs (Over -110)
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Run Line:
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Yankees -1.5 (+155)
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Red Sox +1.5 (-180)
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🧠 Betting Trends:
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Yankees are 6-2 in Yarbrough’s last 8 starts
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Red Sox are just 2-9 in one-run games this season
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The Over is 5-1 in Yankees home games vs. LHP
📈 Picks:
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Lean: Yankees ML (-125)
Despite Crochet’s promise, Yarbrough has been ultra-reliable and the Yankees offense has enough right-handed bats to pressure the Red Sox bullpen late. -
Prop Bet Target: Anthony Volpe Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Volpe is heating up and has been a spark at the top of the order. Good splits vs. LHP. -
Bonus Prop: Crochet Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+105)
The Yankees are still swing-and-miss prone against lefties. Crochet’s swing-and-miss stuff plays here.
🔮 Sunday Teaser: Hunter Dobbins vs. Carlos Rodón
Looking ahead to Sunday Night Baseball, Boston sends out rookie Hunter Dobbins to face Carlos Rodón, who’s quietly strung together a solid run for New York. While Dobbins has some potential, the edge clearly favors Rodón, especially with Boston’s offensive inconsistency and injury woes.
Early Lean: Yankees -1.5 and Under 9
🧢 Fantasy Notes
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Crochet: A must-start in all formats tonight. If he carves against the Yankees in prime time, this could be his breakout start.
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Yarbrough: Streamable in deeper leagues—just don’t expect strikeouts.
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Rodón (Sunday): Must-roster until further notice. Boston’s lineup is weak against LHP.
📉 Final Word
Saturday’s Yankees-Red Sox clash may not carry the playoff weight of past years, but it’s a betting and fantasy goldmine. If the rain holds off, expect a tight, low-scoring game early with potential fireworks once bullpens enter.
Bet the Yankees, back Volpe, and watch for Crochet to impress—even in a losing effort.
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