UFC Atlanta: Usman vs Buckley | UFC Picks Today, Best Bets
Tyler Mason
Host · Writer
A welterweight fight headlines UFC Atlanta as former champion and No. 5-ranked Kamaru “The Nigerian Nightmare" Usman faces No.7-ranked Joaquin “New Mansa" Buckley.
- Arena: State Farm Arena
- Location: Atlanta, Georgia, United States
- Where to Watch: ESPN
- Date: June 14, 2025
- Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
UFC Atlanta: Edmen Shahbazyan vs Andre Petroski
Unranked middleweights Edmen Shahbazyan and Andre Petroski will face off on Saturday. Shahbazyan has alternated wins and losses over his previous six fights, winning by TKO last time out. Petroski is on a three-fight win streak, beating Rodolfo Vieira in his last matchup.
Shahbazyan is two inches taller and has a two-inch reach advantage. He’ll have the power edge, dropping opponents 0.99 per 15 minutes. Shahbazyan is the more active striker, landing 0.89 more significant strikes and absorbing 1.2 more. Petroski has the grappling advantage, averaging 1.41 more takedowns and 1.00 more submissions per 15 minutes.
Shahbazyan is the favorite at -188, but can gas out. This fight looks ripe for a Petrovski upset.
💰 Best Bet: Petrovski to win +152
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UFC Atlanta: Rose Namajunas vs Miranda Maverick
Former women’s strawweight champion and No. 7-ranked flyweight, Rose Namajunas, takes on No. 11-ranked Miranda Maverick. Namajunas has had mixed results at flyweight, going 2-2 since moving up in 2023. Maverick is riding a four-fight win streak, beating Jamey-Lyn Horth in her previous fight.
Namajunas is two inches taller, but Maverick has a 0.5-inch reach advantage. Namajunas will have the power edge, and is a precise striker. Namajunas is the more active striker, landing 0.32 more significant strikes and absorbing 1.17 more. Maverick will have the wrestling edge, averaging 0.93 more takedowns per 15 minutes.
Namajunas is the more seasoned fighter and has faced higher-level competition, but she’s shown a lack of urgency over her last five fights. Based on her last few performances, the odds are a little too slanted toward Namajunas, but she has the higher ceiling. Namajunas edges this one out.
💰 Best Bet: Namajunas by points -150
UFC Atlanta: Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley
- Odds to Win: Usman +210 | Buckley -265
- How Will Fight End: KO/TKO -130 | Submission +1300 | Decision +110
- Will the fight go the distance? Yes -118 | No -150
Former UFC Welterweight champion Kamaru Usman faces Joaquin Buckley. Usman has lost three straight, but two were to Leon Edwards in title fights and one against Khamzat Chimaev at middleweight. Buckley is riding a six-fight win streak, winning by knockout in his last two fights.
Usman is two inches taller, but they both have a 76-inch reach. Buckley knocks opponents down at almost twice the rate of Usman. However, Usman lands 0.14 more significant strikes per minute, while absorbing 0.39 fewer. Usman will have the grappling edge, finishing 1.04 more takedowns per 15 minutes.
If both men were in their prime, Usman would win this fight hands down. However, he’s 38 and has shown limited mobility in his last few matches. I think Buckley will be too fast for the former champion.
💰 Best Bet: Buckley by points +210
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