2025 TOUR Championship Most Bet Plays: Popular PGA Picks

The PGA Tour’s final FedEx stop takes us to East Lake, where the TOUR Championship field is loaded with star power, and betting interest is off the charts. Bettors have their eyes on both proven champions and rising stars, with familiar metrics indicating why the action is flowing in certain directions.

Check out the most bet plays for the TOUR Championship at BetMGM.

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Most Bet Winner w/o Scheffler – 2nd Most Popular Market

• Rory McIlroy +550
• Tommy Fleetwood +800
• Ludvig Aberg +1100
• Russell Henley +1200
• J.J. Spaun +2000

Rory McIlroy (+550, Most Bet Winner w/o)

Few players know East Lake like Rory. In 11 starts here, he’s finished top-10 nine times with three wins (2016, 2019, 2022) and a runner-up. He ranks second on Tour in driving distance (323.9), third in SG: Off-the-Tee (+0.654), and top-10 in SG: Putting (0.786). Combine that with multiple wins this season and eight top-10s, and it’s no surprise bettors love him again.

Tommy Fleetwood (+800 Winner w/o, +150 Top 5, +1400 FRL)

Fleetwood has been one of the Tour’s most consistent performers. Ranked No. 10 in the world and fifth in FedEx points, he’s logged 14 top-25s, seven top-10s, and five top-5s. He sits third in total strokes gained (1.585) and top-20 in both putting average and driving accuracy. With that level of balance, bettors are hammering him across markets.

Ludvig Aberg (+1100 Winner w/o, +200 Top 5, +1600 FRL)

Aberg has quickly become one of the Tour’s most dangerous young players. He owns six top-10s, a Genesis win, and ranks 11th in SG: Off-the-Tee (+0.521). His long-iron game (2nd in approaches outside 200 yards) makes him a strong fit for East Lake, where he finished 16th last year. Bettors see him as a breakout threat.

Russell Henley (+1200 Winner w/o )

Russell Henley has been dialed in with his irons all season. He ranks 14th in SG: Approach (+0.564) and leads the Tour in proximity (33′ 8). East Lake fits him perfectly with 12 par 4s—he ranks eighth in par-4 scoring (3.97). Henley’s track record here is strong too: a fourth-place finish last year, six under in 2023, and a third in 2017. He’s riding six straight top-17s into the week.

J.J. Spaun (+2000 Winner w/o )

The U.S. Open champ is making his East Lake debut, and bettors haven’t been shy about jumping in. Spaun is sixth on Tour in SG: Approach (+0.758), has six top-10s, and sits third in FedEx Cup points. His elite ball-striking profile makes him an intriguing first-timer at this track.

Most Bet First Round Leader 

• Scottie Scheffler +500
• Tommy Fleetwood +1400
• Ludvig Aberg +1600
• Cameron Young +2200
• Rory McIlroy +1100

Scottie Scheffler (+500 FRL)

The best player in the world, Scheffler, has been a machine. He leads the FedEx race, has five wins, including last week’s BMW, and has never missed a cut this season. First in strokes gained (2.751), first in scoring average (68.11), and four top-six finishes here, including last year’s TOUR Championship title. Bettors are backing him heavily as the first-round leader, with 11 opening rounds of 68 or better this season.

Cameron Young (+2200 FRL)

Young has been a popular pick in the FRL market thanks to his hot starts. He’s opened with 68 or better seven times this season, including a 63 at the Wyndham. He ranks 7th in SG: Putting (+0.654) and 19th in driving distance (313.5). In 23 starts this year, he’s been busy and sharp enough to draw tickets for Thursday fireworks.

Most Bet Top 5 Finishers

• Tommy Fleetwood +150
• Ludvig Aberg +200
• Sam Burns +250
• Rory McIlroy +100
• Viktor Hovland +225

Sam Burns (+250 Top 5)

Burns’ profile screams East Lake success. He’s first on Tour in SG: Putting (+0.921) and ranks 17th in par-4 scoring (3.98)—critical on this par-70 setup. He’s 17th in FedEx standings, owns five top-10s this year, and has a ninth-place finish here from 2023. After a T-4 at the BMW, bettors are riding his form.

Viktor Hovland (+225 Top 5)

Hovland is already a past winner at East Lake, taking the 2023 TOUR Championship. He ranks second in SG: Approach (+0.993), top-12 in proximity, and 10th in approaches outside 200 yards. He’s logged three top-15s here and enters off a season highlighted by a U.S. Open podium and Valspar victory. Bettors see him as a strong top-5 play again.

All BetMGM data is based on tickets and straight bets